Here's a prediction. I think Gordon Brown is going to cancel his holiday with the family in Southwold (or only join them for a token day trip).
Just like last year when he only spent a few hours away from his desk before rushing back to deal with foot and mouth (remember those heady days when he seemed to do things well?), I predict that he won't be able to face leaving the office in the aftermath of Glasgow East.
Of course, exactly what he needs to do is get away and relax a bit. But I don't think he will for three reasons:
- He will believe that it will look bad to the voters;
- He will worry that his colleagues will be plotting behind his back;
- He will genuinely think that he can manage his way out of the crisis.
So remember, you heard it here first.